this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2024
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It really depends on the US election results. Trump has demonstrated clearly he backs Russia. If that happens Ukraine will crumble without US support. If he's serious about backing out of NATO it will completely decimate NATOs power to the point that Putin will roll over into NATO while he has the initiative
The US backing out of NATO would be terrible for NATO, but it wouldn't be devastating like you think. Putin would have to be mad to do anything. NATO still has both the UK and France both of which have considerable ordinance, up to and including high-yield nuclear weapons. Fundamentally nothing has really changed.
Russia would be slightly less completely obliterated but given the fact that the level of destruction would be entirely disproportionate to what's necessary, that doesn't really make any difference.