this post was submitted on 10 Jan 2024
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So the Ship that apparently was supposed to have a condensed testing schedule is actually getting an extended testing schedule, and the speculated launch time of late Dec to mid Jan is now sometime in Feb, pending testing results.
And they now also do not expect the flight license in Jan, also now that is expected sometime in Feb.
SpaceX has not yet publicly said anything detailed about what went wrong with StarShip2 (despite their PR indicating that they would learn so much from the test data of StarShip 2), but much can be discerned from the video evidence:
Lower Stage:
And/Or
In addition to
And also likely
Lower Stage Fuel Tank Construction Not Structurally Integrous Enough To Withstand Belly Flop Maneuver Without Serious Damage
Flight Termination System Appears To Not Function Properly
Upper Stage:
Not sure what went wrong exactly, but apparently:
So basically their Mission Control protocols and/or their Communications systems have serious flaws.
...
I am sure they will be able to complete their 3 Billion dollar contract from NASA and land StarShip on the Moon by the end of March this year, and I am sure they will be able to continue receiving massive funding grants from NASA after they definitely do not miss this deadline.
Its not like Artemis recently managed to successfully return from a TransLunar orbit or anything.
Artemis 2 is delayed for Orion heat shield reasons, so that alone would prevent Ar-3 from being this spring, according to that one crazy timeline.
Starship HLS is definitely behind schedule, but at least it's fixed price and milestone based.
Cool, is that going to put the entire Artemis program so laughably behind their contracted schedule that theyre at risk of having the entire program unfunded?
Let me know when StarShip manages to even successfully orbit the Earth a few times and have both the booster and orbiter section land and be reusable I dunno 10 or 20 times with 0 or 1 failures (standard rocket launch failure rate is approximately 5% across the board) both within budget and within the timeframe promised in funding proposals.
Spoiler: This will never occur because SpaceX will at best have to dramatically scale back its operational scope, or at worst, entirely go bankrupt sooner than you think after NASA and other investors stop giving them money and place their bets on far, far more advanced and reliable options.
Are you unhappy SpaceX has yet to achieve with Starship what it's achieved with Falcon 9?
Or to put it in another way, are you unhappy with SpaceX for not accomplishing something no one else has been able to accomplish?