this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2023
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It's almost depressing how well the world is mimicking the years leading up to WW2. I wonder what our Poland (trigger for allies to join war) will be.
Chamberlain has long been seen as an idiot for appeasement. But we now know that when Chamberlain negotiated a deal with Hitler in Munich, his generals were secretly advising him to delay for a year, so they could have a while longer to prepare for war. For example:
Now look what our leaders are doing now? They've failed to drastically increase spending. They're failing to support Ukraine. They're often weaker than Chamberlain.
I'm deeply pessimistic that we'll be able to pull our thumbs out of our collective arses in time. And that's a huge problem, because strength is the only way to deter someone like Putin.
Not that Putin will actually win a war with NATO, or even against what remains of NATO in the event of a second Trump presidency and US withdrawal from NATO, but it's very likely to escalate, cause massive casulties, and perhaps even lead to a limited nuclear exchange.