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10th gen came out when?? Early 2020? That would put the earliest buyers around the four year mark in a few months. That would be the earliest they'd really need to make a jump and is in line with around the average upgrade cadence of four years.
They could look at Raptor Lake Refresh, but honestly if it were me and I had a 10900K, I wouldn't even start looking until Arrow Lake next year. A 10900K would still be a beast. Ditto with 11th Gen (though 11th gen was kind of a dud so I can see why people would want to get off that one lol).