this post was submitted on 19 Nov 2023
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Now.
A year ago even the boring stuff was impossible. Six months ago it'd do everything okay but fumble the details. Today? Sometimes the only reason AI art stands out is that models like central framing and eye contact.
Six months from now, I don't know and you don't either. You can posture about the indomitable human et cetera and ignore how it mirrors past declarations about what's possible right now. The joke goes, "AI is whatever hasn't been done yet." And buddy, that category never gets bigger.
If there are rules, a deep enough network can discern them. And we are a lot less complex than we'd like to think.
I'm only describing the present. You're the one saying you'll always always always be able to tell. Feel free to test that bravado, internet stranger.
The simple fact is, we don't understand intelligence, and we keep being wrong about how much can be faked. Sometimes by underestimating ourselves - sometimes by overestimating ourselves. We do all this civilization nonsense with three pounds of electrified meat. Some parts, even important or popular parts, can be very formulaic. People have been generating so-so sheet music since an electric calculator was an investment. Now we're talking about direct audio output of dead singers with new lyrics from dead writers. No kidding it's flawed. But it's already jawdropping when it works properly, and there is no reason to imagine this rush of progress will suddenly stop.
Really, say that out loud: "this is the best technology will ever be."
I'm not convinced you'd recognize yourself in a mirror.
You're aggressively dismissive of cocksure predictions... which you're doing, and I'm not.
You're incensed by language making disagreement personal... which you used, and I only turned around.
You think "I don't know" is damning failure, but "you don't either" is somehow contradictory.
You are the one certain of what's going to happen.
That is somehow not the most absurd part of this conversation.
Naked projection and complete nonsense.
Success is impossible. You're not listening to yourself and you don't care what words mean.
Meanwhile, keep an eye on this rapidly-changing technology, and try not to act surprised if your absolute certainty turns out to be misplaced.
"For the new and special, humans will always be required. End of line."
But I'm the one making predictions. By saying "I don't know and you don't either."
"All of the bravado of all of the Internet strangers isn’t going to suddenly make me 'believe.'"
When I never asked you to believe anything, besides human fallibility.
"Tough guy talk from internet strangers only impresses children on Xbox live."
In response to an invitation to check your assumptions with a survey of examples... using the 'bravado of internet strangers' phrase you had just used.
"Do you often find this approach successful when the bloviating and juvenile attempts at intimidation don’t work?"
Which is outright fantasy, considering I cannot even guess what part of this was supposed to be "intimidation."
And now you want to pretend I'm the one who threw a tantrum and started with insults.
What a sincere and worthwhile conversation this has been.
Meanwhile:
Yeah, you will believe it, when you see it. All I ask is that you remember you said it was literally impossible. But that's a tall order when you can't remember what you said two comments prior.
It's your comments, troll.
It's a detailed effort to do the opposite of what you keep lying about.
But you don't care what's true. You just want to feel innately superior.
You are the one offended - by repetition of your own words.
You don't even know my opinion. You refuse to read anything. You just make shit up.
One of us has been trying to bring this conversation to a point, and it was never you.
I wrote more. You didn't read it. You were in fact a childish troll about not reading it.
You keep projecting and it's getting dull.
I keep hoping you'll care what words mean, guy who also keeps replying to blunt criticism. Unknowing hypocrite.
How this went is, you keep calling me names, and I keep pointing to the obvious hypocrisy in that.
But you don't care what words mean. You're stuck in a loop. You're never going to care about the point, no matter what anyone says, because you've got your conclusion and any challenge to it must be a personal insult.
You are a broken individual and a waste of everyone's time. Good luck.