this post was submitted on 11 Jun 2023
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I’m sceptical. If most subs only protest for 2 days, then all Reddit has to do is weather the storm and then continue on. The only way I see it having any further impact is if many large subs black out indefinitely.
Reddit would either be forced to make concessions or escalate even further by removing the mods of the protesting subs and forcing it open again. That would be a further sign of bad faith and really piss off all these mods that spent up to a decade doing moderation for free.
You make it sound like Reddit does not have the option to turn the subreddit on and replace the mods. However, the users who actually really do care about reddit will leave and will have to take their content with them.
My hope is that a lot of the more annoyed subs will do the two days and then continue indefinitely after.
Saying it's only two days makes it harder for Reddit to prepare some bad-faith counter to it (like replacing the mods and/or putting the sub back to being live).
A lot of redditors still have no idea what's going on, so even the two days gives them a chance to get caught up so they can decide if they care about it or not.