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FTA:
"After a lot of hand-wringing in recent years, elections next month in Mississippi and Virginia — two Southern states with large Black populations — will offer one final, robust read going into 2024 on the extent of the slippage among Democrats’ most reliable bloc of voters."
Mississippi means NOTHING. They will not vote for a Democratic president and it has nothing to do with how strong or weak the black vote is there. They aren't a Democratic state.
Source, every election since 1980. Carter broke it open in the South in 1976, but that was because he was from Georgia. The only Democratic win in Mississippi in my lifetime.
Virginia has a similar problem, but they have been voting blue since 2008, it would be super easy to see them revert to form.
This isn't about carrying the state, it's about using the election to understand black viters' engagement and sentiment. A weak showing among black voters could indicate deeper issues more broadly.
I'll say what I've been saying, I wish Biden had been primaried. He's looking less and less like a guaranteed winner and having someone else viably in the race could have helped.
The Israel situation is not helping (in the near term, at least).
Yep. This is a issiue sensitive to many black folk in the USA as well. Democrats unwavering support for the police and more or less indifference to the worsening economic conditions for the black community at large will not help either.
Biden will also likely more formally deploy troops into the middle east after some sort of golf of Tonkin esque incident takes place in the Mediterranean.
More talk of war on terror after a pretty difficult recovery from the pandemic is not music to anyone ears, especially not the working class Black people who have a really hard time these last few years.
Biden is not the man who will get these people back on board.
When Obama won Virginia it surprised me. Same thing when Biden won Georgia. Everything is impossible until it's possible.
Both states have seen large migrations recently, making them more liberal.
You're welcome, said California home prices.