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May?
Law is complicated and most of it is not updated for social media. I'm pretty sure he has a dedicated lawyer checking his statements for gag order violations and if the lawyer can't directly say if it's a gag order he goes ahead with it.
It's very important for trump to look defiant but not in a way that will send him to jail.
I don't share your certainty on that at all. Trump doesn't exactly employ the most qualified lawyers anymore, especially since he has a long history of not paying them and being complicit in sending them to jail. Also he would never let a lawyer hinder his impulse shitposting.
When he was president that was the case. Now he runs actual risk of going to jail. He is stupid but he is also a coward with basic survival instincts. He has done several statements where it has looked like he violated a gag order but he threads the needle by attack people that are adjacent to the gag order but not named.
He has shitty lawyers but they usually get into trouble when trying to get him out of crimes already committed. This is a pretty simple thumbs up or down procedure and everybody knows that the judge won't bring the hammer down unless it is a textbook violation.
I think the stupid may outweigh the survival instincts.