this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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From what I have seen, traffic is down 9-10% now, which is quite significant.
https://www.similarweb.com/blog/insights/social-media-news/reddit-blackout/
Also the world has found out there are alternatives, so if mobile apps stop working or cost money by July, we may see a similar drop again.
What happens after that is hard to say. IMO reddit has steadily deteriorated compared to what it was 15 years ago. I miss the old reddit, what reddit is today I won't miss.
Reddit will probably survive, and that may be for the best for Lemmy too. As long as Lemmy stays sustainable, I think we are better off without most of the people who choose to stay with reddit. Because those are likely to also be the people who don't really care about values.
It depends what percentage of power users/content creators/OPs are in that 10%. Most online communities have a pretty lopsided compsition of posters vs. lurkers. If all posters move, the community will be eaten from the inside-out by repost bots.
I think the way reddit was going, quality content creators were already drowned out in many places.
We have a few bots here already making posts, I'm not sure how good or bad they are, but I'd prefer a site without bots. Where things are posted, because someone actually found it relevant here.
I never thought about that and that makes a lot of sense to keep the problematic users over there.