this post was submitted on 24 Sep 2023
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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Don't want to admit we've blown handling the ClimateCrisis? Just change the definition! (climatejustice.social)
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[โ€“] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I think 1.5 will become average must quicker than anticipated. Same with sea ice not recovering.

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Most effects of warming averages are positive feedback. They further accelerate warming. Melting permafrost, increased wildfires, and reduced sea ice all further increase heating.

The main cooling process I'm aware of, volcanic activity, occurs randomly, and isn't tied to climate change. I don't think wildfires get enough ash and soot high enough in the atmosphere to affect cooling like eruptions can.