this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2025
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We'd definitely lose on our own, but we're part of NATO. If the US invades Canada, every other NATO member would come to our defense.
Greece and Turkey have fights occasionally. NATO doesn't care. Mark Rutte smiled at invasion threat of Greenland, saying it is not a NATO matter.
Maybe. We hope.
Europe has their hands full at the moment with Ukraine.
Bit different in this scenario. Not only would the idea of fighting the most powerful military on earth cause hesitation, but they'd be doing it from across the ocean where the us would no doubt have their navy stationed with nuclear submarines, destroyers, and air craft carriers. That, and if Russia is going to become more aggressive, which Trump is obviously empowering him to do, Europe needs to worry about itself. We are right next to them as well meaning they would be able to take us with almost no trouble. So nato would now have to conquer the us not just defend against it. Also, nato has never been tested in a situation like this. We don't know if the alliance would just fall apart or something. As a Canadian, I'm not really counting on them too much since the idea of them actually successfully protecting us seems completely out to lunch. I'm thinking nato falls apart once the us leaves it and is replaced by a more European oriented military alliance.
I don't like unrealistic optimism, but I think there are several reasons to be optimistic. TL;DR: enough US citizens would revolt to make it a winnable war against them, and Trump would back down first.
That's if everyone in the US military complies with the order, and I think a lot of people would refuse. I also think a lot of citizens would start fighting their own military. It only takes 3.5% of people fighting from within an institution to destabilize the whole thing.
I've continually been surprised at what MAGAs are willing to believe (and then stop believing) and I'm sure that a lot them would buy into the new narrative, but it would be such a blatant and self-destructive abuse of power that a non-insignificant number of them would have to wake up. There are also so many individual actors in right-wing media that a few of them are bound to speak out before they get shut down. Just imagine if someone like Tucker Carlson did a 5 minute address saying "I've supported everything Trump does but this crosses the line."
Other countries have a self-interest in keeping foreign dictators in check; while it's true that fighting the US would make other NATO members more vulnerable to an attack from Russia, the alternative of letting Trump literally go insane with power would be more likely to end in a nuclear apocalypse.
If the US decides to Blitzkrieg us, yes--at first. As someone who lives within a 1h drive of the US border, I'd be fucked, but the US wouldn't be able to keep that territory; see all the above points. I also think Trump would start a military war in the same way that he started an economic war: announce that he's going to do it, get an unexpectedly strong announced retaliation from Canada and blowback from within his party, delay the implementation, and finally reduce the scope. During that time Canada and NATO would be able to prepare.
I mean all of this is definitely reason to be optimistic. Good perspective to have. Hopefully it's your version and not mine.
I wish I had your faith.
Trump wants out of nato... and our allies know this, and they are distancing themselves already.
If we go to any war, we go alone.. nobody is coming to our aid.
And hegseth force retired 17000 troops for being trans. Let me tell you Canadian brothers and sisters, less than 1% of our current population is eligible to enlist in the military, due to obesity, medical history, mental health.
We can't meet our recruitment goals, retention sucks. Oh but hegseth is coming now for those still in by reviewing grooming and fitness standards. That will probably get rid of 45% of the forces..
Oh yeah let's invade our neighbors.
We will not be a country by the end of this administration.