this post was submitted on 07 Jun 2023
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Although there's a lot of protesting going on over at Reddit right now, I really don't think it can be compared to twitter. 6 months from now, I doubt things will be all that different at Reddit. A small number of users (relatively speaking when compared to their total number of users) will leave, and that's probably it.
Don't forget that Reddit has invested almost nothing into good moderation tools, and most medium to large subreddits use third party tools (that use the API) to moderate.
This means moderating a subreddit will either be extremely difficult (by using the official apps and website), or moderators will literally have to pay reddit to moderate a subreddit. For larger raids or groups of spambots, those costs will quickly add up.
I think things will be very different on reddit after the change, although still not entirely comparable to twitter.
Reddit has announced they are making an API access exception for apps devoted to accessibility. They will have to do the same for moderation tools.