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What's your prediction for the 2024 US election? (lemmy.world)

submitted 2 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Who's winning POTUS? Will it be called on election night or drawn out? Congress? Etc

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago

Trump outperformed polling in both of the last elections, and the polls are much closer now, so if he even just outperforms the same amount as before he wins.

I think the polls have tried to correct for this, and I also believe Kamala has huge and sophisticated ground game operation aimed at turnout while Trump's team seems completely disorganized. So I wonder if that advantage in operational sophistication counts for anything.