To answer your question, the chart shows it to be ~6,120 total artillery systems left. At a loss of 50 a day (assuming they don't tailor down their use as they lose availability [massive assumption]), they should completely run out in about 122 days / 4 months (~ February 2025).

Obviously, that is unlikely to happen and I expect that they will tailor down their use closer to their production rate (I don't know what their production rate is) before the end of the year, as they completely run out of any reserves.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

76% of the artillery, be active or stock... Those are not rookie numbers anymore. They probably have to transport "fresh" tubes over 1000s of kilometres distance to the front.

China knows the ruzzkis are weakening their eastern border daily. No wonder they keep "supporting" them. One day Chinese army will walk in without a single shot fired.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 months ago

I suspect the storage facilities are close to being completed emptied of working or easily fixable pieces and all that's left is scrap/spare part pieces.

They may be receiving, or could receive in the future, artillery pieces from allies (ex. NK) that could change their ability to keep up losses.

Regarding China, I don't think China would militarily invade a stable Russia (not civil wared). I think it's more likely they will economically dominate them, with the implicit threat of militarily/covert action if Russia tries and recover their economic sovereignty in those dominated regions.