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The US is currently aiding and abetting Israel's genocide. If the Democrats switch course, like many Democratic voters want, it would significantly improve Harris' support nationally, especially in swing states. The majority of voters, and a vast majority of Democratic voters, want a change in policy on Israel. Harris pivoting from Biden on this issue would significantly help her, not hurt her, when it comes to voters and voter turnout
Amnesty
Polls:
New Poll Suggests Gaza Ceasefire and Arms Embargo Would Help Dems with Swing State Voters (Full YouGov Report)
American Attitudes: Shifting Realities After the Unfolding Genocide in Gaza
Data For Progress Poll
I haven't checked the veracity of reports like this, but I've heard this and it makes me think her vagueness has got to do with $$$, not votes.
Unfortunately, I think you're right. As wrong as that is. Nothing makes my skin crawl like profiting off a genocide
This took like 2 days to blow up. Wow. At any rate here's some points.
A. Harris isn't the one sending weapons. The VP in the US is largely powerless unless the President gives them something to do. Interestingly there's a possibility her remarks earlier this year were meant to put pressure on Biden. (the ones where she seemed almost to take the Palestinians side) But it could also have been stuff she was sent to say to try and calm tensions.
B. The polling data supports her messaging strategy. At this point she is clearly courting conservatives who don't like Trump. So her messaging strategy of, need a ceasefire/Israel has a right, is meant to not rock the boat.
This is why I call her a consensus candidate. I know that term gets used a lot to tar the democratic nominee the primary selects, but she is literally a consensus candidate. Blue dogs and moderates agreed to back her without a primary. She and her campaign team obviously believe she will lose more votes than she gains if she breaks that messaging line. The polling you supplied supports that younger and more left democrats want to see movement. But it doesn't support that swing state voters won't vote for her. The part that's worst is that in Pennsylvania the line dips precipitously on exactly what they feel they need. This is why the White House has weekly messaging on having a cease fire and why they always blame Hamas for it failing. That's the big thing people want.
For what it's worth I want to see that movement too. I just don't expect anything until after the election unless something big changes again. You'd think an American citizen being killed by a called shot while unarmed would do it but apparently not.
Edit to add, I forgot to add the reason PA is so important is up until a couple weeks ago it was the only state that mattered. Trump was seen as having sewn up enough other states that he only needed PA to win. So that has highly influenced the race. In a nutshell it doesn't matter what the uncommitted movement in the Rust Belt says because without PA they don't even get counted. Now of course the race has opened up but there's no telling if that's because of her strategy or if it was always going to open up.
Harris has not deviated her position compared to Biden's current policy and I absolutely disagree with how you interpreted those polls. I think it's much more about the sentiment of the donors than the voters that are influencing Harris's position on this. I also stand on the notion that trying to court Republican voters by running away from the progressive base of the Democratic voters, is a bad idea politically and morally. That said, I do respect your opinion, Maggoty
I'll edit this with info from the polls if I have time later
Oh the donors are certainly part of it. I don't want to discount that. It's just hard for me to write long form and get everything in. Her messaging trajectory though has been interesting. She did actually diverge this past spring, very softly. But over the summer as calls for Biden to step down intensified she started toeing the line.