this post was submitted on 07 May 2024
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Switch 2 will be announced in July/August then released in September. (This is speculation).
It needs to come out before Christmas, else Nintendo sales will suffer. They would have already planned for this. If they don't they will announce it October/November quietly and release it in Spring.
I think they will increase the frequency of upgrades to their handheld/hybrid consoles. As they will see completion from steam deck and similar systems. Especially if they don't have significant innovation that isn't easily replicated. The switch 2 might not allow you to transfer all your games over, but subsequent switches are likely to be oled/light/pro/XL type of upgrades.
Switch launched in March despite the dire state of Wii U-era Nintendo.
There wasn't much loss launching it after Christmas. People weren't buying WiiUs. The 2ds was designed to use all the extra wiiU controller screens they had.