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Could Tesla Go Bankrupt? The Odds Are Rising (bradmunchen.substack.com)

submitted 8 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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This is some good looking analysis on Tesla's current problems.

I don't know if "Bankruptcy" is a word to be thrown out right now. But it is clear that the Cybertruck is a dud, the Model 2 is allegedly cancelled, and the Model 3 Highland refresh barely moved the needle.

Finally, TSLA sold fewer cars in Q1 2024 while the overall car market grew in sales. It could be an EV-only blip or problem, but in any case, its a clear problem for Tesla.

Overall, the substack article stays focused on GM, Chrysler, and Nissan and how these 2008-era and 1999-era bankruptcies have similarities to Tesla's troubles today. It seems a bit hyperbolic, but it overall seems like a good read.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

People have been saying this for Tesla's entire life, and it's yet to happen. They're in a bit of a slump, but I very much doubt they'll go bankrupt outright.

[–] Tar_alcaran 6 points 8 months ago (1 children)

People have been saying this for Tesla's entire life, and it's yet to happen.

Because for the entire life, it's been burning new venture capital. Musk has one big talent, and that's lying to people in order to get them to give money.

Tesla's profit, for the years they actually made profit, has been roughly equal to the carbon credits they sold. That means purely on production and sales, they're barely breaking even. That is, of course, assuming they don't do something monumentally stupid like giving Musk his 55 billion dollar bonus, which will wipe out every dime of profit they've ever made.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago (1 children)

That is, of course, assuming they don't do something monumentally stupid like giving Musk his 55 billion dollar bonus, which will wipe out every dime of profit they've ever made.

Or building a polarizing (fugly) truck that is impossible to efficiently and reliably produce quickly enough to meet the inflated demand Musk created by lying about its capabilities and features?

[–] Tar_alcaran 2 points 8 months ago

Whoops, too late!