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Polls show Trump winning key swing states. That’s partly a failure of the press
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 06 Apr 2024
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politics
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Part of it is that people want to vote for the winner. So by repeating the narrative that there candidate will be the winner encourages others to want to vote for that person….
But the polls of Hillary versus actual outcome were absolutely within the margin of error
Nah.
They want blind loyalty to the party, zero criticisms allowed and 100% votes from every party member.
She's no different than Faux News talking heads telling her viewers to disregard all science and only believe her opinion.
Just because she can't understand polling doesn't mean polling is worthless. But I've seen far too many people on here claim the same thing lately.
It's dangerous to give these anti science nutjobs a platform, and statistics is a science no matter how much some people disagree with the results.
The trick to the 2016 polls is that they assumed that the rust belt would be wholly democratic, as it had always been. The Hillary team ignored them completely and was trying to flip Texas. Biden got lucky in 2020 in the rust belt. Trump is spending a lot of time campaigning there again.
And the Democratic party brass are still focusing on flipping Texas, 8 years later.