Dunno, you'd have to ask Sam Altman.
TinyTimmyTokyo
joined 1 year ago
Why say something in 20 words when you can say it in 2000?
"Fat people disgust me, but drugs are cool."
If Books Could Kill is great. I believe the first podcast was about Freakonomics, another one of those incredibly popular books based on behavioral economics. They took it apart.
"TempleOS on the blockchain"
Ok that's some quality sneer. A bit obscure and esoteric, but otherwise perfect for those who know anything about Temple OS.
I was just about over my withdrawal symptoms from reddit, and now this comes along. Thanks a lot, you bastards.
Yeah, Behe's one of the leading lights (dimmest bulbs?) of the so-called "Intelligent Design" movement: a molecular biologist who knows just enough molecular biology to construct strawmen arguments about evolution. Siskind being impressed by him tells me everything I need to know about Siskind's susceptibility to truly stupid ideas.
In theory, a prediction market can work. The idea is that even though there are a lot of uninformed people making bets, their bad predictions tend to cancel each other out, while the subgroup of experts within that crowd will converge on a good prediction. The problem is that prediction markets only work when they're ideal. As soon as the bettor pool becomes skewed by a biased subpopulation, they stop working. And that's exactly what happens with the rationalist crowd. The main benefit rationalists obtain from prediction markets and wagers is an unfounded confidence that their ideaas have merit. Prediction markets also have a long history in libertarian circles, which probably also helps explain why rationalists are so keen on them.