this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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United States | News & Politics

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A new poll suggests that Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein is drawing more voters from former President Donald Trump than from Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to a Noble Predictive Insights survey released last week, Harris holds a narrow lead over Trump in a hypothetical three-way race. With Stein on the ballot, Harris' lead expands, pointing to a potential spoiler effect similar to what many Democrats blamed Stein for doing to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

For Trump, the emergence of Stein as a potential spoiler may be a critical factor in battleground states, where even a small shift in votes could determine the outcome. For Harris, Stein's candidacy could paradoxically provide an unexpected advantage, drawing votes from Trump and narrowing his pathway to victory.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

It doesn't matter.

If Kamala loses, they'll blame us. If Trump loses, they'll blame us. It's more convenient to use the 3rd party excuse than to acknowledge that the ruling parties, through the effects of their governance, have convinced tens of millions of voters that missing a badly-needed day's pay isn't worth taking the time to vote.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 37 minutes ago

BUT STILL DONT FUCKIN VOTE FOR HER THO

I’m talking to you, dipshit dev I worked w 4y ago who sounded stupid then too

[–] [email protected] 12 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

You heard'em, start campaigning for Stein if you want Kamala to win.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 hours ago

A vote for Stein is a vote for Kamala!

[–] [email protected] 28 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago) (1 children)

Without looking at any statistics or polling, I think the spoiler effect is not as prominent and is over stated for one reason.

If I'm going out of my way to not vote for the Democrats or Republicans and voting third party that would mean that I dislike my options so much that I'm giving a fuck you to the two party system.

What people can gather from this is if you said there was only two options I would just sit out and therefore it wasn't going to affect either candidate regardless.

I'm open to be convinced otherwise but I think candidates blaming spoilers should look at the electoral college and themselves when every 4 years they are ready to blame single digit candidates for their losses.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

It sounds like your interpretation of the spoiler effect centers on people voting third party due to dissatisfaction with the 2 unfortunately omnipresent parties, which would be the same as not voting. Have you considered that some people who were going to vote no matter what might vote for a third party candidate because their listed policies actually resonate with them?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 6 hours ago

yawn and thats their decision. Candidates are not entitled to a person vote, they need to earn it. If you wabt your candidate to win those votes then get them to adopt the policies that caused those voters to not vote for them.

Trump's case: being a corrupt authorian, racist, and all around shit human. Harris: a genocidal corporate lapdog.

Trump is unfixable along with the people who vote for him. Harris might be able to stop being a genocidal ass.🤷

[–] [email protected] 33 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Democrats will still blame Stein if they lose, and even though their explicit strategy is to pick off disaffected Republicans, they'll never blame Chase Oliver. It's just like in 2016, when Hillary used the exact same strategy, and they blamed Stein, even though Gary Johnson took home a much higher percentage of the vote in most swing states. They don't care about spoiler candidates; they just want to punch left, especially when they need a scapegoat for a loss.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

What's wild to me is that they actually put out attack ads targeting the Green party, which tells me they're believing their own propaganda.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 hours ago

Many Democrat voters do believe the propaganda, and I imagine it largely keeps them in line so they don't start looking elsewhere. I've heard multiple Democrat voting family members and friends specifically state this year that they think "The Green party only exists to siphon off Democrat votes" It's not just bots. Media is saying it because astroturfing works, unfortunately.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 14 hours ago

This. As long as they have a base big and dumb enough to buy any and every excuse to go further right (and blame progressives for it), they'll keep doing it.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 1 day ago (14 children)

Do you think all of those people who have been saying that third-party voters are going to destroy the US will be apologizing in the comment section here?

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 day ago

First past the post is a terrible design. Let's rank choice and move on.

lol, pie in the sky right?

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 day ago

Dem mental gymnastics are going into overdrive rn

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