this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024
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Data is Beautiful

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Probability of final victory according to the bookmakers during Euro 2024 (i.ibb.co)
submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Cool plot

The little space between each round is misleading because it shows a linear change within a match

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Also, not every game was on the same date.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Note that bookmakers set their odds to minimise their own potential losses - if more bets are placed on a team, then they'll reduce the odds. So this graph will be weighted towards the larger bets placed by supporters of the wealthier nations.

Still cool, tho.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Vamos 🇪🇸🇪🇸🇪🇸🇪🇸 !!

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Seeing Austria get bigger before the 1/8s just hurts :/