this post was submitted on 09 Jul 2024
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Economics

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A vast swath of the US economy is showing signs of weakness as unemployment rises to its highest point in more than two years.

Consumer demand seems to have tapered off so far this summer, according to surveys of American businesses that sell any kind of service to make a profit, ranging from restaurants to dental clinics. That weakness is also evident in the latest spending figures — a far cry from last year’s lucrative summertime spending spree when Americans shelled out for films and high-profile concerts.

The Institute for Supply Management’s latest monthly survey that gauges economic activity in the services sector showed that so-called new orders and overall economic activity unexpectedly slipped into contraction territory last month. The headline index fell to a reading of 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May as the new orders sub-index saw an even steeper decline, down to 47.3 from 54.1. (A reading above 50 indicates expansion while anything below that threshold points to a contraction.)

This apparent slowdown in demand, if it persists for long enough, could translate into service-providing businesses hiring at a slower pace and possibly slashing jobs. The overwhelming majority of employment in the United States is considered service-providing, specifically 86% of the 158.6 million total US jobs as of June.

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[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Quick, let's cut taxes for billionaires again, I'm sure that'll solve the demand problem!

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

To stimulate demand, tax large cash reserves and use those funds to provide a universal basic income.

The article states that it’s the lowest 60% of households where the demand has fallen off, so the net transfer of cash into that pool will increase services demand.

UBI is infrastructure. It counteracts the centralizing nature of money. Thereby, it lengthens the lifetime of a marketplace as a healthy system before it degrades. It ensures nobody is ever cut out of the “vote with your dollars” aspect of the shared economy.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

The key part they’re referring to is “service jobs”.

The article then goes on to list many examples, talking about different sectors.

They say there’s less consumer demand for services, because people in the lower 60% are doing worse.