this post was submitted on 18 Nov 2023
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Probably, but in the best case, a change of leadership might at least give them an excuse to pull out of the money sinks they have in Ukraine and restore the territories. Worst case... could be really bad.
I think most analysts and leaders actually do have what you say in mind, but no amount of expertise can provide a better answer or remove that risk so we are just managing it and doing everything slowly.