this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2023
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I feel like unity is the most likely to die. Their users are way more likely to switch to an alternative than people using reddit
Unity alternatives are also way more known than reddit or twitter alternatives
Also, anyone who wanted to leave Twitter, Reddit, or TikTok likely already have
But the alternatives aren't as developed. Godot still isn't great for 3D projects and Unreal is Epic and also has royalty fees like Unity tried to add.
Unreal only has a 5% fee on games that made over 1 million USD
Unity wanted to add a 0.20 USD tax for every download after you made 200K USD 200K users(which changes depending on how many downloads your game has and which plan you are using)
Units pricing method could have been easily exploited, game developers would have to pay for people pirating their games, if a free to play game reached those requirments, it could cost them more than the game made, giveaways would cost game developers money and all unity games would have to collect data
No, I'm well aware that Unity's model is fucked up.
I'm just saying that I don't consider Unreal a valid alternative, especially as it's owned by Epic who have shown themselves to be far worse than anything Unity has done already, and there are no other 3D engines as good as Unity. I called out Unreal also just because people are saying that Unity shouldn't charge any fees as they think fees are unfair, but then happily recommend Unreal.
Not saying necessarily to keep using it, I'm just saying it's not as simple of a solution as just switching for a lot of devs.
Indies yes but the big dick billion dollar in MTX mobile market won't shift at all.