this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2023
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The potential shift would be caused by the API changes, so a bit too recent for studies to get any meaningful conclusion of.
That said, I don't think that the user demographics changed so much yet. Sure, lots of mods and tech-inclined users migrated out, but those were a small minority in Reddit anyway. Instead I think that the "alternative right" (i.e. neonazi - let's call a duck a duck) in the site are getting a bit louder, as the ones kicking them out are not there any more.
In the future however I do think that you'll get a change in demographics in the site, as the neonazi going rogue will make other people leave.
What if the neo nazis keep it diluted and watered down enough? I don't see how "mild Nazi content" would make people leave, especially since they may have accepted it as part of Reddit. Maybe by the time they leave, UX on lemmy apps would have improved and they can transition more easily.
I think that diluted Nazi content would still make some people leave. Just not as much as otherwise would.
And odds are that they wouldn't. They think that they have some mission like "redpilling" the "woke" and the "normies"; they want proselytism for exponential growth.