this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2023
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For some. Some would ultimately quit and some would never start.
There can be some significant downside to a black market though. De-regulation could pose additional health risks to users as the product may be exposed to unknown and untested chemicals. Not to mention the additional violence and related crimes that always seem to accompany a black market. Prohibition didn't work for alcohol. Prohibition isn't working for Weed. Why do we think it will work for nicotine?
I think a big part of the difference is that most people get addicted to cigarettes just by being around it, rather than seeking it out. Cigarettes don't get you high/drunk (well OK, you get a small buzz early on, but nothing like weed or alcohol).
People will seek out weed even when it's illegal because the risk is worth the reward (to them), because it comes with an intense high you can't really get anywhere else. I don't see nearly as many people seeking out cigarettes in the same way, unless they're already hooked.
I don't think it will "solve" the cigarette problem, but I do think that prohibition for cigarettes won't go quite the same route as prohibition for weed and alcohol.
Now, whether I want the government to be able to ban recreational substances just because they think it's bad (or use that as an excuse) is another question
I got my first cigarette from a black market dealer. Cig prohibition will go the exact same way.
I don't think you've seen how many high schoolers have a crippling nicotine addiction already