this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2023
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I don't think so. Android has been marketshare leader for a long time. Maybe iOS is massively popular in USA, but outside of USA it isn't. Also, as long as marketshare has a sort of "critical mass" it's fine. Look at OSX for example, it has around 20% marketshare and that number is still high enough that it can't be ignored. So I think both are here to stay whether they have 20% or 80%.
This is a US survey. It isn’t relevant to this discussion that India is 96% Android. Now you seem to be approaching this from a “who will win global market share” angle. Again, that was never the question here.
This is an ill omen for Android’s fortunes in the US. Not a dramatic death knell or anything like that. But certainly a bad sign. And whatever happens around the globe, the US is an important market. If you can’t accept that much, then you must be defending some deep biases.
P.S. And by the way it’s incorrect to say that iOS isn’t popular outside the US. Many of the worlds most developed markets, like France and Germany, are, like the US, a lot closer to 50/50. Android’s global lead is due to extreme budget phones in massive developing markets like China and India. So yes, Android has global market share, by virtue of capturing the least profitable and least influential markets in the world. Many rightly say that that is a battle not worth winning.