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I assume because three wins is laughable. I don't think the raiders are in great shape by any means, buts it's almost hard to only win 3 games.
Since '02 we've had two sub-4-win seasons. And eight seasons of 4 or fewer wins, including the year after we went to the Super Bowl.
We've been on the cusp of 3-wins for a third of our seasons over the last 2 decades. Last year we had 6 wins with a playoff team before downgrading.
Maybe 3-wins is a bit of a stretch for expectations. But it would not be at all surprising.
I agree it's possible they end up with three wins. I just don't think it's likely at all.