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Can Europe confront Vladimir Putin’s Russia on its own? (www.economist.com)

submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

23 comments fedilink hide all child comments

In truth, it could take a decade before Europe is able to defend itself without America’s help. To understand Europe’s challenge, start with the debate over Ukraine. European countries are currently discussing the prospect of a military deployment in Ukraine to enforce any future peace deal. The talks, which are being led by France and Britain, envisage sending a relatively modest force, of perhaps low tens of thousands of troops. They would not be deployed in the east at the front line, but to Ukrainian cities, ports, nuclear power plants and other critical national infrastructure, according to a Western official.

Any such deployment would, however, expose three serious weaknesses. One is that it would stretch European forces thin. There are approximately 230 Russian and Ukrainian brigades in Ukraine, though most are understrength. Many European countries would struggle to produce one combat-capable brigade each. Second, it would open up serious gaps in Europe’s own defences. A British deployment to Ukraine, for instance, would probably swallow up units currently earmarked as high-readiness and reserve forces for nato, leaving holes in the alliance’s war plans. Above all, the Europeans acknowledge that any deployment would need significant American support not only in the form of specific “enablers”, such as intelligence and air-defence assets, but also the promise of back-up should Russia attack.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 18 hours ago

They don't need a full alignment.

Russia is weakening the USA and its relationship to its allies, weakening resistance to a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan and its claims to the South China Sea.

The only issues they may come to clash with is Central Asia, but China seems ok with letting Russia have geopolitical control as long as China has economic access to these countries.