this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Most investment is grift, hype, and FOMO. The shovel-sellers promise there's gold in them hills, and no empty suit wants to be the guy who fumbled a line-go-up event with four commas. Google forced it on you because local search beating their already-enshittified results might end them, so they need to make you not bother. Microsoft forced it on you because they figure everything works like Windows and Office and they'll just become the monopolimean default choice.
But them hills are definitely full of silver, at the very least.
The tech is witchcraft, and I don't understand what people don't understand. We made a program that can program. Badly, for now - but anyone insisting 'it will never do [blank]' is begging to be wrong within a couple months. This robot can also write music, draw pornography, read*, drive**, and basically do any damn thing where it can satisfy labels and you can provide examples. This is sci-fi technology! It's from the sort of sci-fi stories that are cautionary tales full of dark comedy, but it's still the sort of thing we've wanted out of computers since before there were computers, and it's here.
And this one runs on your midrange desktop, not a server farm with its own nuclear power plant.
Video is the example that excites me most. Say you have a story you'd like to be a movie. You don't need the robot to fancy up the script, so a studio can buy, it and film some actors, and rob some special effects house. You don't need a studio. You don't need actors. You don't need a camera. The robot can take the roughest storyboard and turn it into finished footage, directly. Or it can take the most Tron-ass first-day-of-Blender animatics to match the exact cinematography in your head. Or you could film some friends on your phone and turn them into Pixar characters.
This is denoising technology, where the definition of noise can be "doesn't look like a medieval village." Anything you can describe can appear on your screen. It can describe anything you're looking at, and turn it into anything else. The fools trying to coerce that into discerning fact from fiction are aggressively missing the point.