this post was submitted on 20 Dec 2024
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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in a speech to fellow party members in Sakarya, promised to “revise the outcome of World War I and annex Syrian territories (formerly Ottoman provinces) into Turkey,” Telegram channel "Turkey's Top News" reported.

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[–] ArbitraryValue 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Article 6

For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack:

on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America, on the Algerian Departments of France 2, on the territory of Turkey or on the Islands under the jurisdiction of any of the Parties in the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer;

on the forces, vessels, or aircraft of any of the Parties, when in or over these territories or any other area in Europe in which occupation forces of any of the Parties were stationed on the date when the Treaty entered into force or the Mediterranean Sea or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.

I presume that the other NATO countries will refuse to recognize annexed areas as part of the territory of Turkey and so they will not be protected by the treaty. Note how the treaty already does not protect even internationally recognized parts of certain member countries (for example Hawaii).

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

What if the Syrians carry out retaliatory strikes in Turkey?

[–] ArbitraryValue 4 points 1 day ago

From when Turkey first invaded Syria:

Ulrike Franke, a fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, said it is "incredibly unlikely" that Turkey would invoke Article 5 in this situation. Asking for help would amount to an embarrassing "admission of failure" on Ankara's part. And even if Turkey did, Article 5 does not mandate NATO members to join the Syrian war on Turkey's side. It merely requires allies to assist with "such action as it deems necessary."

Source.

[–] IrateAnteater 3 points 1 day ago

Syria no longer has the military power to pose a real threat to Turkey, so they likely wouldn't invoke article five anyway. Plus, if they invoke article five, they would then have all of NATO camped in their backyard. That would put a serious damper on any of the more egregious things Erdogan wants to get away with.