this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2024
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TSMC Is At Least 10 Years Ahead Of China Because Of 2nm Tech Says Minister (wccftech.com)
submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago (2 children)

You missed the /s I don't think moores law is that dead.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I guess that would depend on your interpretation of Moore's law.

Improvement in semiconductor performance is clearly not dead.

But "[relatively] easy automatic wins" from moving to a new node are starting to become less common. Prices for new nodes are not getting cheaper (even on a standardized basis), performance/efficiency/size gains are becoming more modest and ramp-up/deployment times are becoming longer and longer.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Yeah true, no need to nitpick about transistors per mm² :-)

Stuff gets denser, sometimes more efficient, and it goes on and on, more to the rhyme of international markets today than trying to keep up with old Moore.

It also feels like the target market have changed (again), from better PCs to handhelds, for example.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

But I thought it stopped being correct about ten years ago?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

The chief engineer of Intel predicted that it'd probably be impossible to get to 1um when they broke the 3um barrier.

Ya, um, not nm. So my bet is it will probably continue, it's not really a law and everyone interprets it differently too so.