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Is it very stupid that Souza's account was deleted for this picture?
Yes.
Is Trump a nonstop POS liar?
Also yes.
Is it possible Trump got astoundingly lucky, and the bullet just barely grazed the top of his earlobe, and this would cause the amount of blood seen, and basically just a superficial scratch?
Again, yes.
This kind of wound is typically called a 'graze'. It is consistent with the trajectory the shooter was firing from and the direction Trump was facing.
There is another bandage pic of Trump with more localized bandaging which to me indicates the bullet likely just barely grazed the top rear ish of his upper earlobe:
https://img.thedailybeast.com/image/upload/c_crop,d_placeholder_euli9k,h_785,w_1396,x_71,y_417/dpr_2.0/c_limit,w_740/fl_lossy,q_auto/v1721521240/2024-07-20T234811Z_1974208635_RC2BZ8AIGZCS_RTRMADP_3_USA-ELECTION-TRUMP-VANCE_tdyjjf
Could it possibly have been caused by shrapnel or fragments of a teleprompter or some other object?
Yes, but, in the case of shattering teleprompter glass, shattered glass fragments are generally more rough and jagged surfaces than a spinning bullet, which on average would lead to an even more fucked up wound and more blood.
I keep hearing this claim that the teleprompter shattering was what actually caused the wound, despite the picture of what seems to literally be the bullet and it warping the air passing in an exact trajectory that would align with an astoundingly lucky and light graze.
Are there pictures, video, audio showing the teleprompter shattered, or being shattered?
Souza deleted his own account.
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/4798519-former-white-house-photographer-deletes-x-account/
Allegedly
Did you read his Instagram post linked in the article?
Instagram? I'm not a boomer, man.