this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2024
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As far as I would like to see Rigloc on the tip spot in Paris, I believe that Jonas is the only alternative to Pogacar. But we'll have to wait at least until Galibier to assess his recovery, and even if he performs well, it would not mean that he can compete all the tour.
I don't see Evenepoel as an actual GC contender, he won a not very contended Vuelta, but he has not proven good enough in other races, specially on the greatest mountains.
I have some confidence on Roglic, I would say that he is a bit below Jonas and Tadej, but he is very competitive and he knows his abilities very well. This year he has focused on the tour and it seems that he is ready.
Also, I like C Rodriguez and Jorgenson, but I think that they stull need another steep up to be able to win the Tour. Anyway, you never know what Visma can do.
For the rest, there are some solid top-10 contenders.
But in the end everything will depend on the recovery of Pogacar from the efforts he made at the Giro and the form of Vingegaard.
Let's hope to be an entertaining race.