this post was submitted on 31 May 2024
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Judge Meachum is explicitly on record saying he doesn't want to put Trump in prison.
Even past that, "we got Capone on tax evasion" is a more oblique way of saying "the local and state governments were too corrupt to successfully prosecute Capone, so we needed a federal department to get involved".
I would say the Capone case is ALSO a classic example of the deep flaws in the American justice system. Its just more focused on how wealthy crooks can manipulate local prosecutions.
I thought he just said he didn't want to put Trump in jail for contempt?
On Trump's tenth instance of contempt he said that he didn't want Trump to go to prison. I suspect the judge will issue the maximum fine allowed and no jail time.
Jailing someone in the middle of a trial is a hugely disruptive delay. But now the trial is over, and the judge gets to count all ten counts of contempt (so far!) against Trump during sentencing. Trump has also been doing everything that a repentant defendant should not be doing, so even though it's his first offense, he might get some actual jail time. Not the max, but maybe a few months. Especially if he violates the gag order and goes after the judge of his family again. Or the jurors.
I will give 2:1 odds up to $1000 that he gets no jail time.