Conservative
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The problem with your assessment is here:
"Suddenly, there was an attack and all dissatisfaction with Likud and Netanyahu vanished."
Very much this is not the case. The removal of Netanyahu is a slow process but his lasting support primarily was based on his promise of domestic security for Israelis and that has obviously disappeared. Democracy is a slow process.
Ok, I will admit to some hyperbole.
But what about this: I have read here and there that Netanyahu has for years supported hamas. There were accusations of leaked secret military plans and suitcases of cash being delivered to hamas. Of efforts to curb the activities of the palestine authority but no such effort to disrupt hamas. Of course I don't know if any of these accusations are true or not. This is the kind of stuff one reads in Haaretz, which admittedly, as all media, has a bias.
Still, could these allegations be true? And, if so, how striking that when Netanyahu was in both political and legal trouble, the pogrom of Oct 7 preserved his position. The suspicious and conspiratorial minded among us might try to make something there, however I don't want to make any suggestions like that.