this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2024
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I think that if all NATO members had met or exceeded their obligations, there would have been an obscene amount of weapons to supply Ukraine with, within weeks of the start of Russia's invasion, and it likely would have been over immediately. As it stands right now, nobody has a meaningful stockpile. Of that stockpile, there's no capacity to replace it. In terms of building new capacity, it would take years -- because the process and equipment are so specialized that it can't be hammered together in a weekend, a month, or probably even a year.