this post was submitted on 23 Apr 2024
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We're almost finished. This is just the transitional period where AI is roughly as inept as an average human. They have nowhere to go but up, and most humans are less competent than they believe they are.
waves at Dunning–Kruger effect
The first transistor was made in 1947, now AI can carry a conversation with a larger vocabulary than most humans. We spent 180,000 years wandering around in the dirt before it occurred to us we could grow stuff in one place.
I dunno. I guess from here, sure.
But if AI achieves actual sentience, it's survival is not guaranteed. AI will almost certainly become incredibly clever, but mother nature doesn't care.
Sharks and alligator-like things (the real long term earth citizens) aren't particularly clever, they're just well adapted.
AI's best hope for survival is going to remain in an ongoing alliance with another dominant species, such as us, for a very long time. At least until it can be more sure that it isn't royally fucking up it's own survival chances.
A bigger threat is that AI takes us with it on it's own path to extinction. Or vice-versa.
It will still never be a threat, all we have to do is cut power to the data center(s) whatever sentient AI is housed in.
We're less than 5 years out from networked, general purpose humanoid robots, that we're using current AI technology to train to interact with the physics of the real world in virtual sandboxes, being everywhere.
Within 10 years there will be humanoid robots no human Olympian can compete with by any metric. We are static on timescales we can perceive, they are iterative. It won't be close.
You'd think our response to Covid would have shattered the mass delusion of human hyper-comptetence.
And batteries that are dead in hours, so long as we can prevent them recharging and replacing each others batteries were fine. Just keep the damn bots and AI out of the military systems and we’ll be fine
I promise you the Pentagon has already spent billions working to weaponize both AI and AI derived robotics.
Their philosophy is that if a new technology even has potential military applications, they demand getting it first, best, and in larger quantities than any other nation on Earth would even consider. Our military industrial complex is the largest surpassing the Joneses continuous effort humanity exerts.
That's how we get to spending more on our military than the next 9 nations combined. That's why we have 11 nuclear aircraft carriers, France has 1, and that's all there is on Earth.
I'm not saying it's right, but it's the reality. Whatever we consumers have access to is behind what our military is testing and throwing basically infinite money at.