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A short analysis on whether Lewandowski's lack of a 6-game goal drought over 12 seasons is impressive or not
(alien.top)
Lovely work.
this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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Was your simulation based on playing 90 minutes per game?
Doesn't this have to be followed with 'given the amount of goals he scored'?
This shows that avoiding a 6-game goal drought over 12 season while scoring over 300 goals is notable but not extraordinary.
I think that misses the point. The point is that a player never having a 6-game drought over 12 seasons is incredibly rare.
This is given that he scored so many. What about if you chose the poisson parameter based on all first choice strikers or something