Canada

To add on for completeness, the Bloc is like the Quebec party, that wants more stuff and independence for Quebec. The Green party is self-explanatory.

Liberals (red) are sort of like our democrats who are the incumbent have been trending up. Conservatives (blue) are like Republican light are trending down NDP (orange) is more left leaning are down slightly

This change is most likely due to the recent threats from America and the perception that Pierre Poilievre leader of the conservative party is seen as been cozier with US interests.

Liberals (red) are the incumbent party, they're fairly centrist but have implemented some watered down progressive policies in recent years because the orange NDP (New Democratic Party) have been helping keep their minority government in power. For example they've begun to roll out an expansion of our health care to include dental and pharma coverage. There are some progressive ideas in the fringes of the Liberal party as well, like UBI, which is supported by one of the (unlikely) party leadership candidates to take over after Trudeau. They are generally pro business but not at the expense of all other considerations.

The NDP are progressives, they tend to advocate for things like wealth taxes and reducing the tax breaks on capital gains compared to income in order to fund more social programs and expand existing government services. They advocate for universal pharma, dental, and mental health care for example, as well as recently adding permanent sales tax removal from more essential products like a wider variety of foods and diapers into their platform. They are also pro union. You can think of them as social democrats.

Blue are the Conservatives. They have been shifting more and more right and especially since the pandemic have begun to cater to the fringe right wing opinions in Canada. Their current leader is a populist and culture warrior, bringing things like gender ideology into our political discourse and aligning with folks like Jordan Peterson. Against Trudeau he has had a commanding lead in the polls for a very long time, and "FUCK TRUDEAU" has been the message and the banner of that party for years. They're losing their lead steadily as (in my opinion) people are seeing the outcomes of that kind of politicking in the USA, and are unifying in the face of American threats. Their divisive politics are not effective anymore and they're scrambling to find a new message, so far they've just been comparing the prospective Liberal leadership to Trudeau and trying to recycle their old message.

Cyan is the Bloc Quebecois, a party that is essentially a Quebec Nationalist party. They tend to be fairly progressive on policy, but are concerned with Quebec issues and sometimes get into conservative territory in some of their ideology, with protectionist and anti-immigrant ideas. They ebb and flow in Quebec but don't really exist much elsewhere, but Quebec has a lot of population and a lot of seats in Parliament so they can be the third largest party often.

Green are the green party, they're generally socially progressive but surprisingly conservative in economic policy at times. They're never really a major contender in terms of seats, but they often split votes across Canada and can decide the outcome of dozens of seats by taking votes from socially progressive conservatives or from other progressive parties.

The major thing to note here is how much the Conservatives are falling in the polls. They had an insurmountable lead before Trump's reelection and before Trudeau announced his intent to resign. NDP is collapsing as well as people are in full strategic vote mode to deny a Conservative majority.

If you're not familiar with parliamentary politics, a majority is not unlike having a majority in Congress but with the added aspect that the Prime Minister is not directly elected by the people but is instead elected by Parliament. So a minority government can be challenged and a new election called by a vote of no confidence from the majority of Parliament, and a coalition of parties can run the country even if they individually don't hold the most seats.

Mine slipped from firmly NDP to NDP/PC tossup. eeeek

C'mon, BQ! Save our democracy!

Surveys result moving in the right direction. Thanks for these updates. Sorry for expressing doubt about one of your (survey) post in the past few days.

As soon as Ontario's election finishes this Thursday, it's time to focus on defeating PP.

My guess is that the Liberals will rise a little more in the polls once Carney is selected as leader, and he'll use that moment to call an election. If he waits too long he risks PP potentially making a comeback.

Nope. Pretty much everywhere but in the US red is left.

Nah, the Blue is "trump lite"

What really fucking sucks for me is I WANT to vote NDP and have most years. I can't do that because it's basically considered a wasted vote to not pick one of the more popular parties.

https://votewell.ca/

I bet blue will win regardless.

No you would be very wrong. The blue is the fascist party.

American colors are backwards for some reason. In countries around the world (that I'm familiar with, at least) blue is the conservative color and red is the liberal/left color. Orange tends to be social democrat, I think, but that might be my Canada bias.

This is consistent across the Commonwealth at the very least, but I think I've noticed the pattern met in other European countries as well.

The Conservatives have lost a few expected seats but you’re right, we’re seeing the NDP quietly implode and lose half their seats, and we’re seeing Quebec voters shift to Liberal.

Since the tariff threats Ontario voters are actually shifting from PC to LPC though.

You can check the source to see. Yes, NDP have lost a lot and BQ have lost a little, but the CPC vote is also going down now.