this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2023
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So the sanctions are cutting into Nvidia's profits while creating new jobs in China, and the upside to this is what exactly?
US doesn't have a clear strategy. It was originally to keep China permanently under 14nm and when that failed, it switched to "slowing" without any clear objectives or definitions of success, at expense of Nvidia market access.
Success is slowing down China.
Long term, China is inevitably going to develop its own super intelligent AGI, and without those pesky safety filters.
Slowing them down gives breathing room.
It doesn't do enough to slow them down, they made a breakthrough at 7nm. US policy wonks making up these sanctions don't understand the tech and trying to balance economic interests.
The US and China are both preparing for war in the near future. China is building up their military power extremly fast, pumping out jets, ships, missiles, drones etc. and US is doing what it can to slow them down. It is inevitable that China will be able to manufacture their own chips, nothing will stop them.
Economic interests are lower priority.