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Bayer Leverkusen equals Bayern start record against Union Berlin with 31/33 points after MD 11 [german] (www.sportschau.de)

submitted 10 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (4 children)

They are far and away a top2 team so far if we go by actual performances, and they're already 8/10 points ahead of Leipzig/Dortmund.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (3 children)

Leverkusen is also overperforming a lot. 4.3 points behind Bayern at xPoints. https://understat.com/league/Bundesliga

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Top clubs typically overperform their xG and xGa (and thus their xPts) by quite a bit because they have the best strikers and keepers. So what Leverkusen is doing is actually in line with the quality of their squad, it's Bayern which is actually underperforming due to defensive lapses in key moments. This notion is also confirmed by Bayern's fantastic GD.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

According to Understat, Bayern is also overperforming

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago

By 1.42 points, which is perfectly normal. Like I said, top clubs typically overperform their xPoints by a bit. Leverkusen, by contrast, is overperforming by a whooping 7.72 points according to understat.