this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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China will never invade Taiwan. Taiwan has a backchannel protection deal with the US and China knows it.
That depends on Trump giving a shit about protecting anyone. I wouldn't be surprised at any outcome.
Trump hates China so he would do it just to show that he's opposing it.
Trump isn't given enough ego bait from China to not rally against them to feed his base. If he can spin it as "the beat deal" he will do it.
I doubt even he can spin it that way. His popularity would plummet and that's something he cares a lot about since he has a fragile ego.
Idk the economy crashed during his presidency and people still believe it was Bidens fault and a return to unchecked mergers, dumping debt into the economy, and trade wars will help.
It's not about reality it's about the story.
And what story could he tell to justify letting China get away with the worst incursion into another country since Ukraine and one we promised and accepted money to protect?
It's not the US. Those aren't Americans. He's putting America first and above places like Taiwan.
China was SO scared of us though, knocking in their boots, that he was able negotiate THE BEST trade deal with China. Since ever. No other country has ever had as good as deal, and he negotiated out of old deals with Taiwan that were making us poor
Or some BS like that.
He can't just be tough on China he has to "win".