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Labour wins majority in UK General Elections as Tories lose two-thirds of seats
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2024
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That's what I originally thought would be the case. But, just statistically (looking at voter share here):
2019: Cons: 43.6% Lab: 32.1% LD: 11.6% SNP: 3.9%
2024: Lab: 33.7% Cons: 23.7% Reform: 14.3% LD: 12.2% (Weirdly, wikipedia has yet to include reform in their share ranking had to use BBC)
Labour picked up less than 2% more of the vote share. Reform took the vast majority of the tory lead away.
Don't get me wrong, I'm glad the tories are out. But, it's mostly because reform split the vote and Labour were second place in most constituencies. This is important to bear in mind while the conservatives sort themselves out to decide how they deal with not being right wing enough..
By that statement though, the LibDems split the left vote and so if your going to compare, you'll need to add the liberal vote to the Labour as that's where they would go if LibDems disappeared.
Many of them, yes. But there's also a significant share who'll vote Lib Dem or Tory, but not Labour.
Citation required for that.
The Liberal Party, which is now the modern LibDems, was founded as opposition to the Tories. Their values are completely different, which is why most LibDem voters were concerned about the coalition.
Labour was founded to represent workers rights, the Greens for the planets rights, and the LibDems for social rights.
The Tories are toxic for all three of those.
Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c888523y90mo
As per the initial comment, those that didn't vote Tory mostly moved to Reform not to LibDem.
Because LibDem wouldn't make sense, as a pro-trans, pro-EU, pro-increase tax to pay for public services party they don't offer anything that Tories want.
That was a wishful thinking comment that some Tories might want to not move far-right, those that find the Tories unpalatable due to their shitty views have already moved.
I would suggest that your more likely to find folks who voted LibDem to move to Green now that they've rebranded themselves to something other than crusty hippies. I know my mother moved from voting LibDem to Green.
Bold of you to assume voters care about consistency or policies. For many Tory upporters in the Home Counties, southeast, southwest and east London, voting Labour would be a bridge too far. But the Lib Dems might be an acceptable alternative. There's a reason the main left of centre party in these regions is the Lib Dems, and not Labour.