matlag

joined 1 year ago
[–] matlag 33 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Scientists have not been hyperbolic. If anything, so far, they've been very cautious abut their statements.

I still remember reading headlines about "likelihood of global warming" then "probably caused by human activities" because 90% level of confidence is not enough, you need more data until you can reach 95% or 98% confidence before boldly writng "most probably".

But in their "probably" they predicted we would see more floods, droughts, violent storms, all of these happening one after the other causing devastation.

And Ô surprise: we see floods, droughts and storms following each other and causing devastation. Yet our leaders will claim "no one could have predicted all of that would happen at once!".

Now they start telling us our civilization could collapse ("could" must be what? 75% confidence level???)

We're going to spend 20-25 years claiming they exagerate, another 20-25 years saying "well, they maybe right, but we can't change things too fast because that would be unreasonable and the people would not accept it".

By the time, we will start reading articles stating no matter what we do now, we can only push out the end a bit, but we're doomed. And the first reactions will be "those damned scientists always exagerate and use hyperboles".

[–] matlag 19 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (8 children)

We also had decades to prevent climate change from happening and look how well we tackle it now.

I'm confident we'll have a plan to prevent that collapse that's due within 100 years, but to keep it reasonable, its execution will be spread over 100 years, and we think about starting in 80 years providing everything goes well in the meantime.

Chill, you can see it's all taken care of!

[–] matlag 25 points 1 year ago

Because the overrich and the elected politicians they fund are clueless enough to think they'll survive this and tackling the change would impact the economy that keeps them overrich. Since that group pretty much control the media, this doesn't make the news.

Even better: they're getting more and more agressive with climate activists.

[–] matlag 3 points 1 year ago

Don't know if that covers your need, but at least their angle is privacy:

https://puri.sm/products/librem-awesim/

[–] matlag 2 points 1 year ago

Not going to happen. They charge such an insanely high premium vs real cost for a very primitive messaging system, they're not letting that go!

[–] matlag 3 points 1 year ago

For example:

https://farm.bot/

There are others. Plenty of small/medium businesses just don't have the resources to develop small computers and the matching software stack. In that regards, the RPi is an appealing choice.

[–] matlag 7 points 1 year ago

Inflation reduces the value of money at the bank: the money saved as well as the money borrowed.

In an ideal world, wages are indexed on inflation (way of calculating inflation in this context can be discussed), and inflation is kept above present targets levels (central banks try to keep it at 2% these days).

That makes your debts easier to reimburse, and limits returns on savings. Have you ever noticed that people who keep talking about the "value of work" actually push for low wages and no or low taxes on capital gains, so actually wants the capital to make more money than work?

A low inflation allows big money to hoard more and more. Higher inflation means money that's not actively contributing to the economy will lose its value over time, and that's exactly what you, at the bottom of the ladder, want (and considering top of the ladder is hundreds of billions of $, ever 6 figures employees are bottom of the ladder).

Too high inflation leads to an uncontrolled spiral. Deflation is also very bad (no investment will ever happen if your money just appreciate by doing nothing). But the 2% target is not to protect you. It's made for money to make more money.

But about the link between wages and inflation: what we have today is a situation where we let cost of life dramatically outpace wage growth. So where did the inflation come from? Profits! That needs to be rebalanced.

From 1945 to the early 80's (before the €), France and some other countries minmum wages were indexed on inflation. If doing so would instantly crash an economy, we would have noticed...

[–] matlag 5 points 1 year ago

And if you want to consider longevity: my Oneplus One is still working. I got it in 2014. How many "great" phones can last 9years these days??

[–] matlag 51 points 1 year ago (2 children)

If you have time to waste posting such crap on linkedin, working on week-ends won't make you a tiny bit more productive.

[–] matlag 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

"Collapse" meaning what, exactly? Do you mean run out of storage from the volume of content, or that processing all the messages is too taxing?

Years back, I setup a Synapse's server on my personal server (Yunohost). At some point, I joined the "big" Matrix room. Bad idea: RAM and CPU usage went through the roof. I had to kill the server but even that took forever as the system was struggling with the load.

But don't just take my words for it:

https://github.com/matrix-org/synapse/issues/7339

Last comment is from less than one year ago. I was told things should be better with newer servers (Dendrite, Conduit, etc.), but I've not tried these yet. They're still in development.

How does it scale differently than Matrix?

The Matrix protocol is a replication system: your server will have to process all events in the room one or more users attend(s) to. There is a benefit to this: you can't shut down a room by shutting down any server: all the other ones are just as "primary" as the original. Drawback: your humble personal server is now on the hook.

XMPP rooms are more conventional: a room is located on one server. That's an "old" model, but it scales.

https://www.ejabberd.im/benchmark/index.html

That's for the host. For other attendees, it's much lower.

I don't think I atteld any public room out there with 3k users, so I can't report my first hand experience, this is the best I found. But I never had to check for load issue on a small server (running Metronome and many more services).

Out of curiosity, why do you say this?

I don't use the Fediverse the way I engage with individual people. If I want a closer relation with someone, I don't want to be bound to yet-another-messenging system, let alone on multiple accounts

And another reason is I may not want to be bothered by people I don't know, regardless how much I could appreciate reading and/or exchanging with them in the Fediverse.

Ignoring or declining requests from strangers can leave a lot to interpretation and then frustration. Remove the button and no one is tempted to press it the be disappointed with the outcome. Less drama.

And that's only considering well intended people.

But these are my humble 2cents.

[–] matlag 4 points 1 year ago

By the time countries that could have built nuclear power plants would complete them, they will have collectively burnt enough coal and gas to doom humankind.

So: indeed, the world leaders didn't try seriously.

[–] matlag 1 points 1 year ago

I think it's worse than that. We humans are inherently selfish and self-preserving.

People who live far away from any coal mines do not feel threatened by coal, because it will not impact them directly (besides fu**ing up the planet, of course, but that's another issue humans have with big pictures and long term effect correlation to present small scale actions).

But most people can't tell where a nuclear plant can be built, so it could be close enough to expose them to a risk of disaster?

Therefore: "Nuclear is more dangerous than coal (for my personal case)"

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