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It's not obvious what it means to "engage in insurrection" without case law defining what that means. What exactly does "insurrection" mean? What types of actions are required for this law to apply?
It's much more of a gamble.
7 people were convicted already of seditious conspiracy, so either of the conspiracy charges connecting the former president with directing their actions would be pretty strong evidence.
Maybe. That's what the courts will need to decide. And without prior precedent supporting your argument it's not as strong as perhaps you think.
agreed - I think it needs a conviction to occur before anyone can argue this.
Except the conviction won't be for insurrection, but for some other related offense so he'll get away with it on this technicality.
The thing is, it's pretty clear to basically everyone else. We're supposee to have confidence in the people who interpret these things for us, but that's pretty clearly gone too. I'm pretty frightened about where we're headed because at some point people will get fed up that no one is getting real consequences and start handing them out themselves.
This is just the way of the law and the justice system. You've got to prove it.
Is it? Are you sure?
It's explained in great detail in the federalist papers.
"Little more can reasonably be aimed at, with respect to the people at large, than to have them properly armed and equipped"
The thing that isn't clear to everyone all at once is which people are getting away with heinous things with zero consequences. What is clear is that a certain level of society has no consequences. Eventually one side or the other will get fed up and things will get really bad. Whether they're going after the actual problems is another thing entirely, and the odds are probably better that they'll be going after the wrong people.
Either way, I see the lack of consequences as the ultimate fuse in this powder keg. One of the main functions of government is to systematize and standardize consequences for unacceptable behavior, and we all agree to abide by rules we don't necessarily agree to so that at least it's somewhat consistently applied. In theory. But if government refuses to even give the appearance of doing that, people will take it into their own hands. Human nature has been the way it is way longer than our oldest institutions.
Well, it's clear to everyone who isn't a Trumper, but you need to remember that the law doesn't always follow "it's clear to everyone." Due to various reasons, that law can hinge on technicalities and tests. So while we might agree that Trump engaged in insurrection, proving that he engaged in insurrection in court would be more difficult. Not impossible, mind you, but more difficult. And depending on the judge and evidence, Trump could be found, via a technicality, to have not engaged in insurrection as far as the law goes.
I don't disagree. I think the real problem us that we're supposed to trust the impartiality of the people making those technical legal determinations. It's become obvious that's a total fiction.
that's a good point and it helps me understand the problem a bit better. as someone outside the legal system though, it still seems like any sufficiently robust definition of insurrection should cover what he did on january 6th. but i guess having precise definitions is important in a legal setting and that problem still remains.
From what I've heard, the 14th amendment was written in a vague manner because the people passing it didn't know what form a future insurrection would take. Would it be a full fledged Civil War Part 2? Would it be an uprising? Would it be a state government refusing to follow federal law and threatening to arrest anyone trying to enforce it?
Say they defined insurrection as "citizens taking up arms against America," then many of the January 6th folks would be guilty, but would Trump? After all, he didn't technically go down there with a weapon.
The vagueness keeps it open to any form of insurrection, but it also makes it hard to tell what counts as insurrection.
It doesn't say convicted, it says "engaged in" and I believe it prevented former Confederates from taking office. So it seems like there's a pretty big precedent backing it up.